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Prof. Dr. Colin Vance
Prof. Dr.
Professor of Quantitative Methods
Psychology & Methods

Campus Ring 1
Res. IV
28759 Bremen

+49 421 200-3303
c.vance [at]
Research IV, Room 66
Research Interests: 
Colin Vance received a degree in International Relations from Boston University in 1993 and a Ph. D. in Economics from Clark University in 2000. His general fields of research are energy and transportation policy, economic development, and global environmental change. His specific research interests include the application of Geographic Information Systems and spatial econometric modeling, much of which has focused on explaining land use change in Mexico based on the linkage of satellite imagery and surveys from farm households. Colin concurrently serves as a senior analyst with RWI, an economics research institute in Essen. He was previously employed with the US Environmental Protection Agency and later with the German Aerospace Centre’s Institute of Transport Studies, where he served as an economic expert on several projects funded by the European Commission.
Funded Projects: 

“Contributing to the Coral Commons”, Leibniz-Vorhaben im wettbewerblichen Verfahren im Rahmen des Paktes für Forschung und Innovation, 2014-2017.

“Evaluating Climate Mitigation and Adaptation Policies (Eval-MAP): The Need for a Household Energy Consumption Panel”, BMBF-Förderprogramm: Ökonomie des Klimawandels., 2012-2015.

European Commission’s Sixth Framework Programme, “REORIENT: Implementing Change in the European Railway Area.” Consortium of the German Aerospace Center, the Institute of Transport Economics, Isdefe, Napier University, Rand Europe, the University of Bologna, the University of Maryland, and subcontractors, 2005 – 2007.

National Aeronautics and Space Administration, “Land-Cover and Land-Use Change in the Southern Yucatán Peninsula Region.” Consortium of Clark University, Harvard University, and El Colegio de la Frontera Sur,1997 – 2000.


Alashkar, F., C. Vance, D. Herich-Terhürne, N. Preising, U. Dührsen, and A. Röth. (2017). Serologic response to meningococcal vaccination in patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) chronically treated with the terminal complement inhibitor eculizumab. Annals of Hematology, forthcoming.

Andor, M., M. Frondel, and C. Vance (2017), Germany's Energiewende: A Tale of Increasing Costs and Decreasing Willingness-To-Pay. Energy Journal, forthcoming.

Andor, M., M. Frondel, and C. Vance (2017), Mitigating Hypothetical Bias–Evidence on the Effects of Correctives from a Large Field Study. Environmental and Resource Economics, forthcoming.

Frondel, M., and C. Vance (2017), Drivers' Response to Fuel Taxes and Efficiency Standards: Evidence from Germany. Transportation, forthcoming.

Procher, V., N. Ritter, and C. Vance (2017), Housework allocation in Germany: The role of income and gender identity, Social Science Quarterly, forthcoming.

LeSage, J. P., C. Vance, and Y.Y. Chih (2017). A Bayesian heterogeneous coefficients spatial autoregressive panel data model of retail fuel duopoly pricing. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 62, 46-55.

Frondel, M., C.M. Schmidt, C. Vance (2016), Asymmetry: Resurrecting the Roots. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 60: 201-206.

Kihm, A., N. Ritter, and C. Vance (2016), Is the German retail gas market competitive? A spatial-temporal analysis using quantile regression, Land Economics, 92(4): 718-736.

Kihm, A. and C. Vance (2016), The determinants of equity transmission between the new and used car markets: a hedonic analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 67(10): 1250–1258.

Ritter, N., C.M. Schmidt, and C. Vance (2016), Short-run fuel price responses: At the pump and on the road. Energy Economics, 58: 67-76.

Andor, M., M. Frondel, and C. Vance, (2015), Installing Photovoltaics in Germany: A license to print money? Economic Analysis and Policy, 48: 106-116.

Frondel, M., S. Sommer, and C. Vance (2015), The burden of Germany’s energy transition: An empirical analysis of distributional effects. Economic Analysis and Policy, 45: 89-99.

Frondel, M., C. Vance, and A. Kihm (2015), Time lags in the pass-through of crude-oil prices: Big data evidence from the German gasoline market, Applied Economics Letters 23(10): 713-717.

Frondel, M., Schmidt, C. M., and Vance, C. (2014), Revisiting Germany’s solar cell promotion: an unfolding disaster. Economic Analysis and Policy, 44(1), 3-13.

Frondel, M. und C. Vance (2014), More Pain at the Diesel Pump? An Econometric Comparison of Diesel and Petrol Price Elasticities. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 48: 449-463.

Peters, J., Strupat, C., and Vance, C. (2014), Television and Contraceptive Use–A Weak Signal? The Journal of Development Studies, 50(11), 1538-1549.

Vance, C., and N. Ritter, (2014). Is peace a missing value or a zero? On selection models in political science. Journal of Peace Research, 51(4), 528-540.

Keller, R. and C. Vance (2013), Landscape Pattern and Car Use: Linking Household Data with Satellite Imagery. Journal of Transport Geography 33: 250-257.

Procher, V. and C. Vance (2013), Who does the shopping? German time-use evidence, 1996-2009. Transportation Research Record 2357: 125-133.

Frondel, M., and C. Vance (2013), Re-Identifying the Rebound: What about Asymmetry? The Energy Journal 34: 43-54.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2013), Heterogeneity in the Effect of Home Energy Audits: Theory and Evidence. Environmental and Resource Economics 55: 407-418.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2013), Energy efficiency: Don't belittle the rebound effect (Letter to the editor). Nature February 28: 494.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2013), On Marginal and Interaction Effects: The Case of Heckit and Two-Part Models, Journal of Economics and Statistics 233: 22-38.

Grösche, P., C. M. Schmidt and C. Vance (2013), Identifying Free-riding in Home-renovation Programs Using Revealed Preference Data. Journal of Economics and Statistics 2233: 600-618.

Iovanna, R. and C. Vance (2013), Land Conversion and Market Equilibrium: Insights from a Simulated Landscape, Annals of Regional Science 50: 169-184.

Ritter, N. and C. Vance (2013), Do Fewer People Mean Fewer Cars? Population Decline and Car Ownership in Germany. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 50: 74-85.

Procher, V., and C. Vance (2012). Heterogeneity in Correlates of Motorized and Nonmotorized Travel in Germany: Intervening Role of Gender. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, (2320), 72-79.

Vance, C. and M. Peistrup (2012), She’s Got a Ticket to Ride: Gender and Public Transit Passes, Transportation 39: 1105-1119.

Vance, C. and N. Ritter (2012), The Phantom Menace of Omitted Variables: A Comment, Conflict Management and Peace Science 29: 233-238.

Frondel, M., N. Ritter and C. Vance (2012), Heterogeneity in the Rebound Effect – Further Evidence for Germany, Energy Economics 34: 461-467.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2012), Interpreting the Outcomes of Two-Part Models. Applied Economics Letters, 19(10): 987-992.

Busch, C. and C. Vance (2011), The Diffusion of Cattle Ranching and Deforestation: Prospects for a Hollow Frontier in Mexico's Yucatán. Land Economics 87: 682-698.

Frondel, M., C.M. Schmidt, and C. Vance (2011), A Regression on Climate Policy - The European Commission's Proposal to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Transport, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 45: 1043-1051.

Peters, J. and C. Vance (2011), Rural Electrification and Fertility – Evidence from Côte d’Ivoire. Journal of Development Studies 47: 753-766.

Peters, J., C. Vance, and M. Harsdorff (2011), Grid Extension in Rural Benin: Micro-Manufacturers and the Electrification Trap. World Development 39: 773-783.

Ritter, N. and C. Vance (2011), The Determinants of Bicycle Helmet Use: Evidence from Germany. Accident Analysis and Prevention 43: 95-100.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2011), Rarely Enjoyed? A Count Data Analysis of Ridership in Germany's Public Transport, Transport Policy 18(2): 425-433.

Paloyo, A., C. Vance and M. Vorell (2010), The Regional Economic Effects of Military Base Realignments and Closures in Germany, Defence and Peace Economics 21: 567-579.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2010). Fixed, Random, or Something in Between? –A Variant of Hausman’s Specification Test for Panel Data Estimators, Economics Letters 107: 27-329.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2010). Driving for Fun? Comparing the Effect of Fuel Prices on Weekday and Weekend Fuel Consumption, Energy Economics 32 (1): 102-109.

Frondel, M., N. Ritter, C. M. Schmidt and C. Vance (2010), Economic Impacts from the Promotion of Renewable Energy Technologies: The German Experience. Energy Policy 38: 4048-4056.

Frondel, M., N. Ritter, C. M. Schmidt and C. Vance (2010), Die ökonomischen Wirkungen der Förderung Erneuerbarer Energien: Erfahrungen aus Deutschland. Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 59 (2): 107-133.

Vance, C. and M. Mehlin (2009). Fuel Costs, Circulation Taxes, and Car Market Shares: Implications for Climate Policy, Transportation Research Record 2134: 31-36.

Frondel, M. and C. Vance (2009). Do High Oil Prices Matter? Evidence on the Mobility Behavior of German Motorists. Environmental and Resource Economics 43: 81-94.

Schmook, B. and C. Vance (2009), Agricultural Policy, Missing Markets, and Deforestation: Evidence from Mexico’s Southern Yucatán, World Development 37: 1015-1025.

Vance, C. (2009), Marginal Effects and Significance Testing with Heckman’s Sample Selection Model: A Methodological Note, Applied Economics Letters 16: 1415-1419.

Vance, C. (2009), Editorial. Special edition of International Journal of Environment and Pollution: The Viability of Renewable Energies: Regional Considerations, 39: 1-3.

Grösche, P. and C. Vance (2009), Willingness-to-Pay for Energy Conservation and Free-Ridership on Subsidization, The Energy Journal 30: 135-154.

Vance, C. and R. Hedel (2008), On the Link between Urban Form and Automobile Use: Evidence from German Survey Data, Land Economics 84: 51-65.

Vance, C. and R. Iovanna (2008), Cities and satellites: Spatial Effects and Unobserved Heterogeneity in the Modeling of Urban Growth. Transportation Research Record 2077: 87-96.

Frondel, M., Peters, J. and C. Vance (2008), Identifying the Rebound: Evidence from a German Household Panel. The Energy Journal 29 (4): 154-163

Vance, C. and R. Iovanna (2007), Gender and the Automobile: An Analysis on Non-work Service Trips, Transportation Research Record 2013: 54-61.

Iovanna, R. and C. Vance (2007), Modeling of Continuous-time Land Cover Change Using Satellite Imagery: An Application from North Carolina, Journal of Land Use Science 2: 147-166.

Vance, C. and R. Hedel (2007), The Impact of Urban Form on Automobile Travel: Disentangling Causation from Correlation, Transportation 34: 575-588.

Vance, C. and R. Iovanna (2006), Analyzing Spatial Hierarchies in Remotely Sensed Data: Insights from a Multilevel Model of Tropical Deforestation, Land Use Policy 23: 226-236.

Vance, C., S. Buchheim, and E. Brockfeld (2005), On the Role of Gender as a Determinant of Car Use: Evidence from Germany, Research on Women's Issues in Transportation Conference Proceedings, Volume 2, The National Academies Press, 59-67.

Geoghegan, J., L. Schneider, and C. Vance (2004), Temporal Dynamics and Spatial Scales: Modeling Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region, GeoJournal 61: 353-363.

Vance, C. and J. Geoghegan (2004), Modeling Semi-Subsistence and Commercial Land-Use Decisions in an Agricultural Frontier of Southern Mexico: A Switching Regression Approach, International Regional Science Review 27: 326-347.

Klepeis, P. and C. Vance (2003), Deforestation and Neoliberal Policy in Southeastern Mexico. An Analysis of the PROCAMPO Program, Economic Geography 79: 221-240.

Vance, C. and J. Geoghegan (2002), Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation: A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data, Agricultural Economics June, 317-332.